Kenpom game predictions - Following a 17-3 start, coach Hubert Davis' team is 3-3 in its past six games, which included an 86-79 loss on Feb. 13 at Syracuse, a game in which the Orange shot 62.5% from the field and 47.1% ...

 
Mar 12, 2017 · Rather than splitting all teams into strict groups of 4 for a seed line, we created more liberal parameters for the seed lines: e.g. a 10 'KenPom seed' is given to any team ranked between 114 and 165. Stated differently, the #4, #5, or #6 KenPom-ranked team is around '1-seed quality' and the #100 team is around '14-seed quality.' . Hsn callie

UK (23-9) had an early exit in the SEC Tournament, but the Wildcats won 7 of 8 games from Feb. 13-March 9, beating a trio of KenPom top-15 squads along the way. Appropriately enough, Kentucky is the speedy colt in this South Region field. The Wildcats play an up-tempo, high-scoring brand of basketball.That begins against Florida on Saturday (noon CT, SEC Network), a game that KenPom only gives Vanderbilt a 5% chance of winning. The Gators (18-8, 8-5) are coming off an overtime win over Alabama.Here's a KU basketball preview, prediction & betting odds for Friday's game. ... KenPom (Ken Pomeroy) Ranking: 110. Betting line: Kansas is a 14.5-point favorite.Ahead of the big Duke vs. Syracuse showdown, the predictions — and Vegas odds — are in. Duke is one game ahead of Notre Dame in the ACC standings with the league tournament fast approaching. Earlier this year at Cameron Indoor Stadium, the Blue Devils handily defeated the Orange 79-59, but KenPom predicts the game will be closer this time ...March Madness predictions 3.0: Projecting NCAA Tournament bracket for SEC basketball teams. Craig Meyer. USA TODAY NETWORK. 0:04. 1:36. With only a handful of regular-season games remaining for ...Let’s take a look at the scoring thus far for these expert bracket picks, using a standard doubling format: KenPom 47 points. Haslametrics 46 points. Torvik T-Rank 44 points. ShotQuality 40 points. ShotQuality is lagging behind due to having too much belief in Kansas, BYU, and Wisconsin. However, they have the most contrarian picks.It is 60th in KenPom's overall rankings and owns regular-season wins over Michigan, VCU, and UAB. It ranks seventh in 3-point percentage and forces turnovers at the sixth-highest rate in college ...KenPom Betting is a system of performance-based rankings and advanced statistical metrics used to assess the quality and efficiency of basketball teams (and sometimes other sports teams). These ratings take into account various factors, including offensive and defensive performance, pace of play, strength of schedule, and other key performance ...WCC tournament predictions. Dates: March 2nd-4th & 6th-7th, 2023. Location: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV. Our pick: Gonzaga. The Bulldogs secured a split regular season WCC title with Saint Mary ...KenPom picks BYU to win every game on the non-conference schedule except the road game at Utah. KenPom predicts a close game between BYU and Utah in that game, but he gives a slight edge to the ... Predictions. Ken Pomeroy | 11.28.06. Contrary to how it may appear, this portion of the site is not quite dead, yet. I’m feverishly catching up on e-mail from the holiday weekend. One question I’ve been getting a lot has to do with when predictions will be posted. We’re still on the fringe of having meaningful ratings, and hence ... Mar 17, 2024 · KenPom Overall: 33 KenPom O: 19 KenPom D: 85 Record: 24-7 Strength of Schedule: 88 Conference: Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 14-4 Quad 1 Record: 3-4. The Wolf Pack head back to the Big Dance for the second-year in a row. Last season they were an 11-seed, but had the unfortunate task of having to play-in for their seed. Baylor (19-6, 8-4 Big 12) Resume: Net: 11, KenPom: 12. The Bears are flying under the radar a bit, but they still average 83 points per game with six double-figure scorers.GAMES; KenPom. KenPom Predictor; Bracketology Analysis; Build a Bracket; Odds; How to play; Sign up. Sign in; Sign up; Leaderboards; Using latest ESPN Bracketology predictions (2024-03-17). See also KenPom Bracketology Analysis. This bracket was saved on Mon Apr 15, 2024 at 3:19pm EDT. FIRST FOUR. 10. Virginia. 39%. 56. 10. Purchase a 12-month subscription for $24.95. You'll get unrestricted ad-free access to the most insightful college basketball data on the web, including... » All of the data that many of the nation's most successful coaches use. » Detailed statistical breakdowns of every team and player in Division I. » Predictions and box scores for every ... KenPom Predictor; Bracketology Analysis; ... Sign Up to make predictions! Sun 7. Mon 8. Tue 9. Wed 10. Thu 11. Fri 12. Sat 13. ... Game 4 DEN leads series 3-0. Nuggets 4Predictions for No. 4 Alabama vs. No. 1 UConn: On3: UConn 86, Alabama 77. Griffin McVeigh writes, "For this game between UConn and Alabama, KenPom agrees with Vegas, projecting the Huskies to walk ...KenPom gives BYU a 99% chance to win with a projected final score of 83-58. As of this writing, BYU is ranked 5th in KenPom while Bellarmine is ranked 261st. BYU has two more non-conference games ...Kitley, who averaged 22.8 points (sixth-best in the nation) and 11.4 rebounds (also sixth-best) per game this season, missed the ACC Tournament and her status is unknown for the NCAA tourney.Here's how to watch, Vegas odds, ESPN BPI predictions and KenPom game predictions as well for both teams ahead of huge Saturday's SEC clash. With a victory, Kansas will clench a share of the Big 12 regular season championship with a Baylor win on Saturday, but will be outright champions if the Bears lose to Iowa State. How to watch Texas at ...Let’s take a look at the scoring thus far for these expert bracket picks, using a standard doubling format: KenPom 47 points. Haslametrics 46 points. Torvik T-Rank 44 points. ShotQuality 40 points. ShotQuality is lagging behind due to having too much belief in Kansas, BYU, and Wisconsin. However, they have the most contrarian picks.Ken Pomeroy. Oct 16, 2023. When I started doing this whole website thing, preseason ratings seemed unattainable. I first did them for the 2010-11 season which seemed like an incredible breakthrough and now they seem even more unattainable with all of the roster movement. Throw in the uncertainty of players using their free covid year and a ...You'll get unrestricted ad-free access to the most insightful college basketball data on the web, including... » All of the data that many of the nation's most successful coaches use. » Detailed statistical breakdowns of every team and player in Division I. » Predictions and box scores for every Division I game this season, along with a forecast of a team's final conference and overall record.It may not be an 100% success rate, but we can use college basketball's most popular advanced metrics site, KenPom, to help frame the National Championship race. No, KenPom isn't used solely for ...It's nothing personal. The system is designed to be purely predictive. A good reality check on a team's rating is to compare future predictions with the betting line. If they are close, then chances are the team's ranking is reasonably accurate. One can also use Jeff Sagarin's "predictor" rankings for additional support.The Bulldogs were able to hold the Gaels to just 37.3 percent from the field and we expect a similar defensive performance in tonight’s championship game. According to KenPom, the Zags defense ...Using KenPom's historical statistics to handicap the 2024 Final Four field with UConn and Purdue fitting the bill of a standard National Champion. By Reed Wallach | Apr 1, 2024. Mar 30, 2024 ...Here's a KU basketball preview, prediction & betting odds for the Big 12 game. ... KenPom (Ken Pomeroy) Ranking: 141. Betting line: Kansas is a 10-point favorite .ESPN's College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. ESPN's BPI has Oregon at Arizona as the 21st highest-rated game on Saturday's slate in terms of matchup quality. KenPom prediction. Predicted final score: Arizona 84, Oregon 67A trip to the Sweet 16 is on the line as No. 6 seed Texas (22-11) and the No. 3-seeded Purdue Boilermakers (28-7) battle in the NCAA Tournament’s second round on Sunday at 8:40 p.m. ET. Here’s how to watch, Vegas odds, ESPN BPI predictions and KenPom game predictions as well for both teams ahead of huge Sunday’s Round of 32 clash.- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 3.2 percent chance to win against Clemson. - KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a five percent chance to ...It's nothing personal. The system is designed to be purely predictive. A good reality check on a team's rating is to compare future predictions with the betting line. If they are close, then chances are the team's ranking is reasonably accurate. One can also use Jeff Sagarin's "predictor" rankings for additional support.KenPom was more accurate on ___ % of games. Sagarin was more accurate on ___ % of games. 56.45%. 43.55%. However, when the actual point spread was either higher or lower than both the …WynnBET Sportsbook has Gonzaga's odds at +325 to win the National Championship and they are well worth a bet, but here's a look at the other teams in KenPom's top 10. One of these teams will win ...Every Big 12 team has played 13 games conference play and every team has five games remaining before the conference tournament. Using KenPom's predictive analytics, we projected what the Big 12 ...KenPom tracks adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, which are points scored and allowed per 100 possessions. Tennessee has a top 25 offense and defense in those metrics. The defense for the ...Vinnie Iyer. 03-19-2021 • 7 min read. If you're not consulting Ken Pomeroy's eponymous KenPom ratings before making your 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket picks all the way through the Final Four ...No. 4 seeds Alabama (21-10, 13-5 SEC) Resume: Net: 8, KenPom: 12. The Crimson Tide have maintained top-10 Net and KenPom rankings despite a late-season slide where Alabama lost three of its last ...KenPom projects Xavier to finish the regular season with a 16-15 overall record and a 10-10 mark in Big East play. Despite final score predictions forecasting Xavier to go 8-9 over its final 17 ...Predict: Guess the point spread; Contribute: Help us develop an accurate point spread; Leaderboards: See predictions and accuracy of all users; Market Info: Win probabilities & Line history for every game from both the community's and Vegas' perspective; Compete: Create private groups to compete against friends; Spoiler-Free Mode: Look up pre-game info for your DVR'd games17 Mar 2024 ... ... Kenpom is law. ... My Week 15 NFL Predictions. WaltVoss•2.9K ... DALLAS MAVERICKS VS LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS LIVE NBA Playoff Game Score MAY 1, 2024 ...Mar 19, 2024 · For example, Iowa State (+2300) just demolished Houston in the Big 12 Championship game and has the nation’s best defense according to KenPom. Duke has +4000 odds and the Blue Devils are KenPom’s 8th-ranked team in the tournament but sit 16th in odds. We also have our Final Four predictions for the NCAA Tournament, including picks at +750 ... KenPom picks BYU to win every game on the non-conference schedule except the road game at Utah. KenPom predicts a close game between BYU and Utah in that game, but he gives a slight edge to the ...Enter Ken Pomeroy, a meteorologist employed by the National Weather Service in Montana, who set out to devise a more refined and efficient system for scrutinizing college basketball. ... When a key player is sidelined before a pivotal game, the KenPom prediction remains unaltered. Consequently, blind reliance on KenPom forecasts is ill-advised.No. 17 Tennessee (20-7, 11-4 SEC) hosts the No. 3 Auburn Tigers (25-3, 13-2, SEC) on Saturday at 4 p.m. ET. Here's how to watch, Vegas odds, ESPN BPI predictions and KenPom game predictions as well for both teams ahead of huge Saturday's SEC clash. This game has major implications for the four-way race to win the SEC regular season title ...Money Line: Creighton (+225) vs. UConn (-278) Game Total (Over/Under): Over 145 (-110) vs. Under 145 (-110) An $11 bet on UConn -6.5 (-110 at DraftKings) profits $10 if the Huskies win by 7 ...Here's everything you need to know about betting on UConn vs. Stetson in the 2024 NCAA Tournament, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for this first-round game. UConn vs. Stetson oddsKenPom (Ken Pomeroy) Ranking: 12. Betting line: Iowa State is a 3.5-point favorite . ... Game Prediction. This game might be KU's most challenging road game all season.Money Line: Creighton (+225) vs. UConn (-278) Game Total (Over/Under): Over 145 (-110) vs. Under 145 (-110) An $11 bet on UConn -6.5 (-110 at DraftKings) profits $10 if the Huskies win by 7 ...KenPom picks BYU to win every game on the non-conference schedule. It's worth noting that KenPom does not have a prediction for the second round of the Vegas Showdown - he won't make a prediction ...KenPom projects the Cats will finish with a 20-11 record, 11-7 in the SEC. Torvik goes slightly lower at 19-12 and 10-8. Both models have Kentucky losing at Mississippi State (Feb. 15), vs. Tennessee at home (Feb. 18), and at Florida (Feb. 22), a crucial three-game stretch, and at Arkansas to finish the regular season.KenPom (Ken Pomeroy) Ranking: No. 1. Betting line: Houston is a 9.5-point favorite . ... Game prediction. This game will be tough for the Jayhawks, not only because Houston is so sound overall ...First, a look at where the Cats stand. Kentucky started the season No. 1 in the KenPom ratings but has since fallen to No. 16. Right now, the Cats are No. 35 in BartTorvik, another ratings system, and No. …ESPN's BPI has Kansas vs. Kentucky ranked as the third highest-rated game on Saturday's slate in terms of matchup quality. KenPom prediction. Predicted final score: Kentucky 71, Kansas 70. Win probability (for Kentucky): 52%. KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball.Game Rankings; D-I Stats Trends; Ref Ratings; Home Court Ratings; Arena Capacity; Contact; 2024 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings help. 02 ...Marquette's next two games are at Creighton (March 2) and the return home game against UConn (March 6). There is a chance to move up. Kansas (21-6, 9-5 Big 12) Resume: Net: 14, KenPom: 15 ...Sports predictions have become increasingly popular among fans and enthusiasts who want to test their knowledge and skills. One platform that has gained significant attention in th...Ahead of the game, predictions and betting odds — including KenPom analytics — are rolling in. How to watch Mississippi State vs. South Carolina. Tip-off: 6:30 p.m. ET. Location: Columbia, South Carolina. Channel: SEC Network. Vegas odds. Mississippi State is a 9.5-point favorite over South Carolina on Thursday, according to VegasInsider ...Are you seeking daily guidance and predictions to navigate through life’s ups and downs? Look no further than Eugenia Last, a renowned astrologer known for her accurate and insight...With 13 wins in its last 14 games, Arkansas is on a roll heading down the final stretch of the regular season. Now ranked No. 14 in the latest Associated Press Top 25 poll and fresh off a 75-73 win over Kentucky, the Razorbacks return to action Wednesday at home against LSU.Ahead of the game, which will be broadcast live on ESPN2, predictions and betting odds - including KenPom analytics ...Game on Ken Pomeroy | 11.08.10. I've made a few changes to the site, which I hope to be improvements. The most obvious thing is that I'm not starting with zeroes for every team this season. Each team has a pre-season guess for adjusted efficiencies and pace. ... Those people that think my predictions suck will have a handy resource to prove ...- 2024 NCAA Tournament Schedule, Predictions, Game Previews, Lines. Baylor vs Colgate Game Preview Why Colgate Will Win. Colgate Seed: 14, CFN Ranking 1-68: 57 ... Net Ranking: 15, KenPom Ranking: 14 Consensus Ranking 1-68: T14 Yeah, Colgate is tough on the inside, but Baylor can shoot right over the top of them. ...Tennessee Volunteers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction for Today, 11/29 on ESPN . The Tennessee Volunteers will travel to Chapel Hill to play a non-conference game against the North Carolina ...3-8. 6-5. 4-1. 9-0. 48. 188. No Games Scheduled. CBS Sports is helping you get ready for March Madness with the latest news, picks, and predictions for the 2024 NCAA Basketball Tournament Bracket.Using KenPom's predictive analytics, we projected what the Big 12 standings will look like at the end of the year and how that would impact the tournament bracket. Projected Big 12 Standings ...Check out these Sweet 16 picks and predictions for the men's college basketball matchup. Arizona is a 7.5-point favorite in the game in March Madness odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook . The ...Texas hits the road on Saturday for an important Big 12 matchup against Baylor. Here is everything you need to know from how to watch, odds, and predictions from ESPN and KenPom. Saturday's game will serve as the first of two meetings between the two teams this season. How to watch Texas at Baylor. Time: 12 p.m. ET. Location: Ferrell Center ...A trip to the Sweet 16 is on the line as No. 6 seed Texas (22-11) and the No. 3-seeded Purdue Boilermakers (28-7) battle in the NCAA Tournament's second round on Sunday at 8:40 p.m. ET. Here's how to watch, Vegas odds, ESPN BPI predictions and KenPom game predictions as well for both teams ahead of huge Sunday's Round of 32 clash.KenPom is a tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. It is also predicting a Tigers win. However, if KenPom is correct, the Tigers will cover the Vegas spread, which ESPN's BPI is predicting USF to cover. More on USF vs. Auburn. Coming into the season, USF and Auburn seemed to be at opposite ends of the spectrum.For example, Iowa State (+2300) just demolished Houston in the Big 12 Championship game and has the nation's best defense according to KenPom. Duke has +4000 odds and the Blue Devils are KenPom's 8th-ranked team in the tournament but sit 16th in odds. We also have our Final Four predictions for the NCAA Tournament, including picks at +750 ...While finding good odds "hiding in the open" and profiting from huge discrepancies between sportsbook lines and KenPom predictions is a bit hard these days, you can still win consistently by using KenPom as a reference. 🔹 Alternatively, you can always game the KenPom predictions. The Ryno23 system explained above is a good example.The Terrapins are ranked No. 68 by Kenpom. • Betting line: MSU -2. • Coaches: MSU — Tom Izzo is 698-287 in his 29th season as a head coach, all with the Spartans. Maryland — Kevin Willard ...Ken Pomeroy | 02.25.21. Not sure if I'll keep up with this or how accurate this will be given seeding irregularities and cancellations, but this will be the home for conference tourney forecasts…. (These are complete now.) SWAC…. Semis Final Champ. 1 Prairie View A&M 98.9 65.6 38.6. 3 Texas Southern 75.4 45.9 24.0*.College Football : FBS. More Conferences Map Pretty Schedule cf2023 Rating Archive Score Distribution Extreme Games Transitive Path Export. Key | Games | Matchup | Landing | Prev | Next. Please wait while the data loads. Computer ratings and rankings for CF (College Football), with links to team predictions, scores, and schedules.Tennessee Volunteers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction for Today, 11/29 on ESPN . The Tennessee Volunteers will travel to Chapel Hill to play a non-conference game against the North Carolina ...Odds. The Tigers have maintained heavy favorites since around 7 p.m. ET Friday night, according to VI’s consensus line movements. These odds are current as of 8:30 a.m. ET Saturday morning. Money line: Auburn -750, Texas A&M +525. Spread: Auburn -12, -110.Mar 24, 2021 · KenPom was more accurate on ___ % of games. Sagarin was more accurate on ___ % of games. 56.45%. 43.55%. However, when the actual point spread was either higher or lower than both the KenPom and Sagarin predictions, the actual spread was closer to the final outcome than both metrics on 35 of 64 games. As a percentage …. The Friars have played exceptionally well in close games on route to a 27-5 overall record, including going a perfect 3-0 in overtime games. KenPom prediction: Kansas will win 76-69 in a close ...You'll get unrestricted ad-free access to the most insightful college basketball data on the web, including... » All of the data that many of the nation's most successful coaches use. » Detailed statistical breakdowns of every team and player in Division I. » Predictions and box scores for every Division I game this season, along with a forecast of a team's final conference and overall record.The Final Four is here and a trip to the 2022 National Championship game is on the line as No. 2 seed Villanova (30-7) and the No. 1-seeded Kansas Jayhawks (32-6) battle on Saturday at 6:09 p.m. ET. Here's how to watch, Vegas odds, ESPN BPI predictions and KenPom game predictions as well for both teams ahead of Sunday's huge Final Four clash.Apr 7, 2024 · Final score predictions for Alabama vs. UConn. KenPom Predicted final score: UConn 75, Purdue 72 KenPom Win probability (for UConn): 59%. KenPom is a predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. UConn and Purdue are ranked 1-2 in KenPom. They each spent several weeks atop the polls this season. ... Ariz., for their predictions. Dana O'Neil. The pick: Purdue 76-72. ... Hoping for a game ...Not every site agrees that Alabama is the second-best team in the country, but due to the way the bracket is organized, all three also have Alabama in the title game. (More on this below.) KenPom suggests that the most-underseeded teams are #4 UConn in the West (4th overall at KenPom), #4 Tennessee in the East (5th overall at KenPom), and #10 ...Check out the rest of KenPom’s predictions for Texas A&M at No. 1 Auburn here. Texas A&M vs. No. 1 Auburn Preview This matchup couldn’t come at a better time for the Aggies, as No. 1 Auburn suffered their first loss since November at the hands of a court-storming Arkansas Razorback team.

KenPom projects the Cats will finish with a 20-11 record, 11-7 in the SEC. Torvik goes slightly lower at 19-12 and 10-8. Both models have Kentucky losing at Mississippi State (Feb. 15), vs. Tennessee at home (Feb. 18), and at Florida (Feb. 22), a crucial three-game stretch, and at Arkansas to finish the regular season.. Can you get a publix sub with ebt

kenpom game predictions

KenPom, the industry leader in college basketball analytics, predicted BYU-UCF. KenPom gives BYU an 84% chance to win with a projected final score of 76-65 in favor of the Cougars.ESPN BPI prediction. Predicted winner: Virginia Tech. Predicted point differential: 7.7. Win probability (for V T ): 79.1%. Matchup quality: 62.1. ESPN Basketball Power Index or BPI is a predictive tool that measures team strength to project the outcomes of games. In terms of quality, ESPN's BPI has ranked ODU-Virginia Tech as the 12th ...GamePredict | Sports schedules and predictions. Predict: Guess the point spread. Contribute: Help us develop an accurate point spread. Leaderboards: See predictions and accuracy of all users. Market Info: Win probabilities & Line history for every game from both the community's and Vegas' perspective. Compete: Create private groups to compete ...Here's a KU basketball preview, prediction & betting odds for Friday's game. ... KenPom (Ken Pomeroy) Ranking: 110. Betting line: Kansas is a 14.5-point favorite.This year, they finished second in their conference in regular season play, but grabbed wins over Arizona and Texas A&M in non-conference play. Their high-powered offense puts up over 80 points per game, with guard Johnell Davis leading the way in scoring. No. 9 Northwestern. NET: 244. KenPom Overall: 46. KenPom O: 30. KenPom D: 73. Record: 21-11KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 81, Missouri 78. KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 61 percent. KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It's designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Florida and Missouri, KenPom agrees with BPI ...Ken Pomeroy. Mar 18, 2024. Here's the list of probabilities generated from my ratings. I hope to have larger thoughts on the selection process tomorrow. But a couple of points: Subscribe. It's quite possible this is wrong. The 10-seeds getting the play-ins might have messed things up. I think I got the regions matched up, but who knows!Ken Pomeroy submitted his predictions for the WCC semifinals. ... BYU and Pepperdine split their two-game series in the regular season. According to KenPom's probabilities, he believes there is a ...We've got an initial preview of the game and make predictions. No. 7 Dayton and No. 10 Nevada face off in the First Round of the 2024 NCAA tournament. We've got an initial preview of the game and make predictions. ... KenPom Overall: 33 KenPom O: 19 KenPom D: 85 Record: 24-7 Strength of Schedule: 88 Conference: Atlantic 10 Conference Record ...Dean Oliver's identification of the "Four Factors of Basketball Success" in the early 2000s gave hoop heads a new approach to what translates to wins in the game of basketball.Between putting the ...The No. 4 UConn Huskies (7-0) and No. 6 Kansas Jayhawks (6-1) meet Friday as part of the Big East-Big 12 Battle. Tip from Allen Fieldhouse is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the UConn vs. Kansas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.. UConn is coming off an 84-64 win over the New Hampshire Wildcats Monday ...If KenPom's predictions are correct, Auburn will have an overall record of 27-3 with a 15-2 mark in SEC play heading into its final league game against South Carolina on Saturday, March 5. That game is scheduled for a 1 p.m. ET tipoff at Auburn Arena, with the SEC Network carrying the broadcast.KenPom, the industry leader in college basketball analytics, predicted BYU-Duquesne. KenPom gives BYU a 76% chance to win with a projected final score of 76-68 in favor of the Cougars.So Purdue should be expected to win by 2.24 points, on average. This gives you the expected point differential, but not the probability of a win or loss. You can calculate the probability by assuming a normal distribution and a standard deviation for college basketball games. Ken Pomeroy purportedly uses 11 points for the standard deviation..

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